Large investors pay little attention to noise
25 June 2025
Stay informed in three steps:
1. Bitcoin briefly dips below $100,000
This happened last Sunday, following U.S. airstrikes in Iran. There was no real panic, and the price quickly recovered in the days that followed. Bitcoin has since climbed back above $107,000. The response shows that the market has become more resilient—shocks no longer automatically trigger heavy sell-offs.
2. Altcoins show cautious recovery
Altcoins took another hit over the weekend. At its lowest point, Ether was down 27% from its early June local high, while SOL briefly dropped more than 30% below its late May peak. A recovery is now underway. Altcoins are moving in sync with bitcoin but remain more sensitive to market shocks and sentiment.
3. ETF inflows show little concern over geopolitical tensions
The recent drop in bitcoin’s price did not affect inflows into U.S. bitcoin funds, which have recorded only positive days since June 9. Ether ETFs saw a small $11 million outflow on Friday, but this was more than offset by a $100 million inflow on Monday. This highlights the sustained interest from institutional and traditional investors.
Signal from the noise:
Amdax’s Take
The crypto market proves resilient. After briefly dipping below $100,000, bitcoin quickly rebounded, supported by continued ETF inflows and easing tensions. The trend is clear: traditional and institutional investors are steadily building positions. This is reflected in recent news—from ProCap to BBVA and JPMorgan. Bitcoin is embedding itself more deeply into the traditional financial system and is becoming less affected by geopolitical noise.
At Amdax, investing isn’t about chasing quick wins. It starts with clear goals, a thoughtful strategy, and a long-term perspective. That’s exactly why recurring investing is a smart way to begin—or to continue building your portfolio in a structured way.
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Amdax Research
Price models with impressive statistics—such as an R-squared of 95%—often give the impression that markets can be predicted with near-perfect accuracy. But is that really the case?
In his latest article, Tim Stolte explains why such figures can be misleading, how even random price series can appear predictable, and why it’s not the models that fail—but the conclusions we draw from them.
Behind the scenes
Next week, we’re moving. Not far, but certainly noticeable: just one floor up in our familiar tower at the Zuidas. The new floor is more spacious and modern, with additional call and meeting rooms, more space for new colleagues, a larger kitchen, and a refreshed studio. We look forward to welcoming you to our renewed workspace soon.
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